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C M Nafi

Field Notes

Essays, Match Logs & Bookshelf

Every big number has a story behind it. These are the long reads where I chase one down, through funding rounds, filings and old court cases, alongside reports from the cricket matches worth remembering and notes on the books that stayed with me.

67 pieces 36 essays 5 match logs 23 books 3 notes

Capital & Systems Essays

Where money moves and why: venture rounds, buyouts, public markets, regulation and the odd piece of transit history.

Flagship deep research

The longest, most-researched pieces, newest first.

  1. Venture Capital · Deep dive

    Uber: The $32.8 Billion Hole

    $32.8B accumulated deficit by the end of 2022, and $24.8B of it refilled in 42 months

    Uber burned through more outside capital than any startup before it, dug a $32.8 billion hole, and then refilled three quarters of it in 42 months. The full funding history, round by round.

    20 min read

  2. Systems & Learning

    The Open Syllabus: 55 YouTube Channels, Eight Tracks, Five Hours a Week

    55 free YouTube channels in eight tracks, on a five-hour weekly budget

    YouTube holds more good teaching than any campus, and no way to find it. Not a list of channels but a curriculum: eight tracks, 55 channels, and a 300 minute weekly budget.

    9 min read

  3. Regulatory data

    The Universe of Form ADV

    56,107 SEC-registered advisers analyzed, from assets to disclosures

    An empirical review of 56,000+ SEC registered advisers, $163T in assets, and their institutional holdings.

    12 min read

  4. Capital Lens · Sports money

    The Money Lines: Inside Twelve Sports' 2025 Cash Flows

    ~$90B of 2025 distributable revenue traced across twelve sports

    Twelve sports. Roughly ninety billion dollars in distributable revenue. We trace every flow from broadcasters to players.

    12 min read

The essay ledger

Everything else, searchable. Rankings fold into one row; the March 2026 explainers sit in their own archive group.

30 essays

Essay ledger: date, title and core thesis, subtopic and reading time for each essay.
Date Title & core thesis Subtopic Read
Retail software: who runs the till, the pumps, and the back office

Independent shops run on a patchwork. This report maps the software stack across six retail verticals, its costs and vendors, and where the workflow still breaks.

· General · 20 min

General 20 min
One Ticker, Three Businesses, 94 Times Revenue

SpaceX's S-1 is the first look at the company's financials. What it shows is three businesses under one ticker: one that prints cash, one that breaks even, and one that burns $6.4 billion.

· Public Equities · 12 min

Public Equities 12 min
Does CAIA Cover Mutual Funds? A Study Guide for the Curious

Mutual funds are not a CAIA topic. They are the counterfactual behind every CAIA topic: the comparison set, the regulatory wrapper for liquid alternatives, and the distribution channel alternative managers now use to reach retail.

· General · 12 min

General 12 min
Q1 2026 Big Tech Earnings: Cloud Beats, Capex Soars

Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon printed the cleanest set of cloud and advertising results of the AI cycle.

· Public Equities · 10 min

Public Equities 10 min
Dutch Bros: From Pushcart to Public Market Phenomenon

How two dairy farmers from Grants Pass, Oregon built a $6.4 billion drive-thru empire...

· Public Equities · 12 min

Public Equities 12 min
The Earnings Volatility Trade: Capital Lens

Q2 2026 reporting season opens with implied moves at multi-year highs. We rank the 20 biggest single-day post-print swings of the last twelve months.

· Public Equities · 8 min

Public Equities 8 min
The Sovereign Wealth Invasion

Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Abu Dhabi are co-leading the largest AI deals in history. We map where sovereign capital is concentrating and what it means when nation-states become the primary backers of the AI stack.

· Macro · 7 min

Macro 7 min
The Extraction vs. Reinvestment Playbook: Beyond F1

CVC bled Formula One dry. Liberty Media bought it and tripled the audience. Both won: on entirely different logic. We take that lens beyond F1 and map where extraction ends and compounding begins.

· Macro · 8 min

Macro 8 min
Andreessen Horowitz: The Firm That Rewrote the VC Rulebook

a16z started as a VC fund. Today it has $42B+ AUM, a media arm, a policy shop, and dedicated crypto and bio funds. It's not a venture firm anymore: it's a capital platform competing with Goldman for the future of financial intermediation.

· Venture Capital · 8 min

Venture Capital 8 min
The Whisper Number Economy

The consensus EPS estimate is the floor, not the target. In modern markets, the price-moving number is the whisper: an invisible, crowd-sourced expectation that Wall Street never publishes. We explain how it works and what it means for your portfolio.

· Macro · 7 min

Macro 7 min
Starlink vs. The World

SpaceX's Starlink has 9.2M subscribers, $10B+ in annual revenue, and 60%+ share of all active satellites in LEO. Amazon, OneWeb, and every national broadband programme are chasing a lead that is growing, not shrinking. We map the battle for the sky.

· Venture Capital · 9 min

Venture Capital 9 min
The Death of the Mutual Fund

$32B fled mutual funds in a single week in Q1 2026. Active managers have been losing to index funds for 20 years. ETFs are eating their lunch from below while SMAs take their high-net-worth clients from above. We write the obituary.

· Macro · 7 min

Macro 7 min
OpenAI's Cap Table Is a Map of the Future

Three of the ten largest private funding rounds in history belong to OpenAI. Every investor at the table represents a theory about how AI power will be distributed. We trace every major position and what it reveals.

· Venture Capital · 8 min

Venture Capital 8 min
The 100 Greatest Venture Capital Funds Ever Raised

Welcome to the data the industry doesn't want you to see: the actual, audited fund-level returns of the most successful VC vehicles ever raised.

· Venture Capital · 15 min

Venture Capital 15 min
The 100 Greatest Private Equity Funds Ever Raised

In venture capital, a 10x return makes a legend. In private equity, a 3x return makes a dynasty. This is our attempt to rank the 100 greatest PE funds ever raised.

· Private Equity · 16 min

Private Equity 16 min
The 100 Greatest Venture Capital Bets Ever Made

From a $500,000 check into a Harvard dorm room to a $20 million gamble on a pre-revenue Chinese marketplace, the history of venture capital is written in asymmetric bets.

· Venture Capital · 15 min

Venture Capital 15 min
Archive · March 2026 explainers A burst of shorter explainers from late March 2026, kept in full and listed newest first.
The Dutch Bros Effect: When Founder Culture Scales

Dutch Bros grew from a pushcart to a $6.4B public company on the strength of something that doesn't appear on any balance sheet: cult founder culture. We examine when that culture survives institutional growth: and when it breaks.

· Public Equities · 7 min

Public Equities 7 min
When PE Goes Public, Everything Changes

CVC Capital Partners listed on Euronext Amsterdam in April 2024. Apollo, Ares, and Blue Owl have all gone public. The PE industry that built its identity on opacity is now subject to quarterly earnings calls. We examine what happens when the GP becomes the asset.

· Private Equity · 8 min

Private Equity 8 min
The $100B Bet on Human Capital

Blackstone, Apollo, and KKR are quietly buying coding bootcamps, credentialing platforms, and professional training companies. The same playbook that conquered sports and infrastructure is now targeting education: the one market that is simultaneously huge, fragmented, and politically explosive.

· Macro · 7 min

Macro 7 min
Blackstone Buys Into the IPL: What You Need to Know

We break down the deal, the consortium, and what it signals about Blackstone's broader ambitions in the sports economy.

· Private Equity · 6 min

Private Equity 6 min
The $169B Corporate Venture Machine

Ranked by AUM, activity & strategic impact: The Top 10 Corporate Venture Arms and what they signal about the next decade.

· Venture Capital · 12 min

Venture Capital 12 min
The Original Sports PE Firm: CVC Capital Partners

From Formula One to a £10 billion sports empire currently being reorganized for the next era.

· Private Equity · 10 min

Private Equity 10 min
The Other Side of the Trade: Liberty Media

The Malone doctrine, the Drive to Survive effect, the MotoGP bet, and where it all stands today.

· Private Equity · 10 min

Private Equity 10 min
Nasdaq Ventures: The Exchange that Invests in the Markets of Tomorrow

Every check connects back to Nasdaq's core business: the infrastructure layer of global finance.

· Venture Capital · 8 min

Venture Capital 8 min
Apollo Global Management: From Junk Bonds to the Beautiful Game

Nine days ago, Apollo Global Management completed the most audacious move in its history: buying a football club.

· Private Equity · 14 min

Private Equity 14 min
Blackbird Ventures: The AU$250,000 Check That Built an $8 Billion Empire

The story of Blackbird Ventures: the firm that proved world-class startups don't have to come from Sand Hill Road.

· Venture Capital · 12 min

Venture Capital 12 min
I Applied to Blackstone. I Interviewed at BlackRock. Here's Why the Entire World Makes the Same Mistake.

Junior year of college, I did what every ambitious finance kid does: I applied to Blackstone. Or at least, I thought I did. When the interview schedule arrived, I read the name three times. BlackRock.

· Macro · 12 min

Macro 12 min
Canva vs. Figma: Two Philosophies, One Canvas

The story of two companies that originated in completely different worlds, built for different people, and are now building the exact same thing.

· Venture Capital · 12 min

Venture Capital 12 min
Figma: The $1 Billion Browser Bet That Redrew Silicon Valley

How a design tool became a $12B enterprise platform, and an options strategy to play its volatility.

· Venture Capital · 10 min

Venture Capital 10 min
The Covered Call Playbook: How to Generate $100+/Month on a $10,000 Portfolio

Three stocks, three strategies, one goal: turn a $10,000 portfolio into a monthly income machine using the most reliable options strategy ever invented.

· Public Equities · 10 min

Public Equities 10 min

Cricket Match Logs

League cricket in Florida, written up when a match turned on a spell, a chase or a last over. I play as an all-rounder and bowl right-arm fast. Three of these finishes are playable: set the field yourself in the fielding tactician.

  1. FT20 League

    Blazehawks vs Go Leopards

    Four wickets and a chase

    Waverly Cricket Field, Tampa

    My day
    4-33 and 44 off 24
    Result
    Won by 6 wickets

    Go Leopards 149/8 (20) · Blazehawks 150/4 (16.3)

    5 min read

  2. League

    TB Bengal Tigers vs Mustangs

    Five runs

    Played

    My day
    68 off 34 and a run-out
    Result
    Won by 5 runs

    TB Bengal Tigers 128/7 (16) · Mustangs 123 all out

    4 min read

  3. SWAT vs Tampa Telugu Titans

    One of those days

    My day
    5/27 and 54 off 44
    Result
    Won by 8 wickets (DLS)

    Tampa Telugu Titans 136/6 (20) · SWAT 101/2 (12.5)

    6 min read

  4. Bengals vs TPCC

    78 off 47

    Evans Park

    My day
    78 off 47
    Result
    Won by 8 wickets

    TPCC 129/7 (16) · Bengals 133/2 (15.2)

    6 min read

  5. SWAT vs Royal Phoenix

    Seven to defend

    My day
    29 off 24, then defended 7 in the last over
    Result
    Won by 3 runs

    SWAT 95/6 (16) · Royal Phoenix needed 7 off the last over

    7 min read

Reading Shelf

Short notes on the books that changed how I think: what stayed, what it changed, and why it is still on the shelf.

Markets & Wall Street 4

How finance really behaves, from the trading floor to the plumbing.

  • Flash Boys

    Michael Lewis

    Why Flash Boys made markets feel more physical than abstract.

    6 min note

  • Going Infinite

    Michael Lewis

    What Going Infinite suggested about intelligence, narrative, and self-deception.

    6 min note

  • Liar's Poker

    Michael Lewis

    Why Michael Lewis made finance feel like culture, not just math.

    6 min note

  • What It Takes

    Stephen A. Schwarzman

    Why Schwarzman's story made judgment feel like a craft.

    6 min note

Founders & Systems 10

How companies get built, run and repaired.

  • Creativity, Inc.

    Ed Catmull

    Notes on Pixar, trust, and protecting honest feedback.

    5 min note

  • Elon Musk

    Walter Isaacson

    What I took from Isaacson's portrait of intensity, engineering, and volatility.

    7 min note

  • Good to Great

    Jim Collins

    What Good to Great taught me about restraint and compounding.

    Why I picked it up Read in the summer of 2021, while I was interning at Skybridge Associates. My mentor and the firm’s CEO suggested it.

    5 min note

  • Shoe Dog

    Phil Knight

    A note on Phil Knight, risk, and building while half-unsure.

    6 min note

  • Steve Jobs

    Walter Isaacson

    Notes on taste, intensity, and the sharp edge of product obsession.

    7 min note

  • The Everything Store

    Brad Stone

    Why The Everything Store made scale feel cultural as much as strategic.

    6 min note

  • The Heart of Business

    Hubert Joly

    Notes on Hubert Joly, renewal, and making business feel more human without making it soft.

    5 min note

  • Zero to One

    Peter Thiel with Blake Masters

    What I kept from Zero to One beyond the slogans.

    5 min note

Meaning & Craft 9

Memoir, fiction and the slower questions.

  • Becoming

    Michelle Obama

    What Becoming taught me about poise, discipline, and voice.

    6 min note

  • Designing Your Life

    Bill Burnett and Dave Evans

    What Designing Your Life changed about career decisions and experimentation.

    5 min note

  • Eat, Pray, Love

    Elizabeth Gilbert

    What I took from a book built on movement, place, and self-repair.

    5 min note

  • Educated

    Tara Westover

    Why Educated felt less like a school story and more like a story about identity under pressure.

    6 min note

  • Siddhartha

    Hermann Hesse

    A note on Siddhartha, interior restlessness, and learning by living.

    4 min note

  • The Last Lecture

    Randy Pausch

    What Randy Pausch made me think about effort, time, and grace.

    5 min note

  • The Spy and the Traitor

    Ben Macintyre

    A note on tension, loyalty, and one of the sharpest true stories I have read.

    6 min note

Shorter notes

Notes on taste: games, films and what makes a book worth keeping.

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